Iran being one of the most discussed topic in 2009 and likely 2010 as well, its international
defiance and its internal disarray, has prompted a number of prominent centres and scholars to
hold important meetings on Iran’s future. Aside from this, we are also approaching the 1979
Revolution anniversaries on February 11, 2010, which the opposition has promised to turn out in
big numbers to demonstrate its resilience.
By: Sharif Behruz
07 Feb 2010 – The First week of February was a relatively a busy week in Washington, DC where a
number of discussion and policy panels on Iran were planned by various institutions and policy
centres.
Iran being one of the most discussed topic in 2009 and likely 2010 as well, its international
defiance and its internal disarray, has prompted a number of prominent centres and scholars to
hold important meetings on Iran’s future. Aside from this, we are also approaching the 1979
Revolution anniversaries on February 11, 2010, which the opposition has promised to turn out in
big numbers to demonstrate its resilience.
The US Institute of Peace hosted a panel discussion titled “Regime and Opposition in Iran”
moderated by the Vice-President of USIP Abiodun Williams, and members of the panel were Daniel
Brumberg, Robin Wright, Fatemeh Haghighatjoo, Suzanne Maloney and George Lopez. The opening
remarks by Chair summarized the parametrises of the discussion: “ The tumultuous events that
have rocked Iran in recent weeks suggest that the conflict between regime and opposition is far
from over. Indeed, the “Ashura Protests” of December 2009 tell a different story: of a regime
that is struggling to hold on to power and some shred of legitimacy, and an opposition that is
looking for ways to unify as it confronts state violence.”
In his remarks, Mr. Williams further elaborated on the policy discussions: “How will the
evolving clash between regime and opposition affect the stability of the Islamic Republic, on
the one hand, and its foreign relations, on the other? What are the implications for recent
events for the Obama administration’s efforts to engage Iran and deflect its efforts to build
what many experts believe is a nuclear arms capacity?”
Following the presentation of each panel members, a handful of the participants raised a number
of important questions that one was from our esteemed colleague, Dr. Karim Abdian in regards to
the role of national groups in Iran in today’s Iran, and the response from two panel members
were surprising: Robin Wright, a very experienced journalist and foreign policy analyst said
that what goes on in non-Persian areas like Baluchistan is irrelevant to Tehran and it will
remain irrelevant to Tehran, and that is despite the fact that panel members such as
Haghighatjoo, herself a Persian, indicated that ethnic groups have refrained from participating
in the last 8 months of demonstrations in Iran.
I attended the event with my dear friend Idris Ahmedi who is a visiting scholar at the
Georgetown University in Washington.
Middle East Institute had a similar format panel, but with only two experts and they also
focused on Iran’s internal dynamics titled “The Khamenei-Ahmadinejad Regime and the Challenge
of the Iranian Opposition”. The event was held on the 3rdof February at the Institute for two
Iranian scholars Ali Alfoneh a Research Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and Alex
Vatanka, Scholar at the Middle East Institute each focusing on the ongoing unrest in Iran and
the implications for the stability and future of the regime and its options in the face of this
growing opposition movement.
I along with my friend Idris Ahmedi also attended this event and raised a very important
question to the future of Iran and its Green Movement vis-à-vis the ethnic groups in Iran and
similar questions were raised on the status of Kurds in Iran by the audience.
My observation on this panel discussion and others in general is the very bitter reality that
scholars and experts tend to run away from the issues of national groups which matters to more
than half of Iran’s population. They have been comfortable concealing the issues of nation
groups and their future role in Iran simply because they have not been nailed in these
discussions. They should and will be reminded that they simply should not overlook this
important issue in Iran in these gatherings, and it is best if they talk about the issue
beforehand without being asked to respond to a question.
The other important personal observation in these gatherings is this suspicion of separatism
that tends to overshadow the important issue of national rights, and sadly is being utilized by
both the dictatorship in Iran to silence these ethnic groups and in policy centres and most
obviously in capitals around the world by scholars of Persian background, and other alike, to
ignore the repression that the ethnic groups endure. It is quite obvious, and they know the
simple zero-sum game that tipping the balance of power to accommodate the ethnic groups will
result in the diminishing of Persian role and dominancy in Iran.
On the same day, the Middle East and South Asia Subcommittee of House Foreign Affairs Committee
also held a hearing on Iran titled “America and the Iranian Political Reform Movement: First Do
No Harm” chaired by Gary L. Ackerman (D-NY) (his opening remarks)and witnesses included
Geneive Abdo, Mehdi Khalaji, Fariborz Ghadar and J. Scott Carpenter.
Considering all these, I as the representative of Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan as the
largest Kurdish and Iranian opposition to this regime pursue a few clear objectives via our
representation in Washington: At first, we have to make sure that we have a presence in all
these gathering across the US, especially in the capital beltway preferably as panellists and
policy debaters or at least as participants.
Second, we, as the representative of Iranian national groups, should broaden our lobbying
efforts in Washington to talk to policy centres and policy makers to realize that Iran is not a
monolithic society with Persian being the overwhelming majority and we should prove that we
have a strong voice. Furthermore, we should convey the message that any solution to the
Iranian puzzle that will leave out the issues of Iranian ethnic groups will doom in failure.
And lastly, the Green Movement in Iran will be less likely to turn into a Green Revolution if
its leaders do not address the essential issue of ethnic groups.
Achieving these objectives, I have been in contact and met with various scholars, think tanks,
policy makers and officials in the US capital, and this past week I paid visit to a number of
centres and House and Senate Committees and Member offices.
We should not expect any miracles; however, witnessing the unexpected and powerful snow storm
brazing through Washington in the same week, one should wonder whether a political storm will
follow suite in regards to the issues of Iranian nationalities on the Capital Hill. I tend to
be optimistic, but I doubt this will happen, at least in the immediate term.
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